Total Control Keeper League

[Counselor]

I like what Mike wants. To keep the team as is and build from there. Like we do with the mocks. This is the way to see who can really build a contender and who can really scout players. Who can flip around the bottom teams and so on.
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In reference to concern about Joshua Dobbs' Knees

[ny92jefferis]

Still a long ways to go before I have the statistical sim set up to project wins and loses, but I need to know that you guys are gonna be ok with this process before moving forward.

Take a minute a view the link below, and let me know if you believe that this would work.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1nQjxp5LTM59PtNOdnPoCa6kTU6sKYVxZaaNnIULkfxY/edit?usp=sharing

The sheet "Grouped Projections" will give you a better look at the numbers, but with the current formulas as they are I'm getting the following results.

Total Games Played 267
Total Projected Correctly 201
Correctly Proj. Percentage: 75.3%

Greater than or Equal to Avg. STD 113
Total Projected Correctly 94
Correctly Proj. Percentage: 83.2%

Less than or Equal to Avg. STD 154
Total Projected Correctly 107
Correctly Proj. Percentage: 69.5%

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Thanks IDOG_det

[EaglesPeteC]

[Counselor]

[ny92jefferis]

[ny92jefferis]

Lets start a discussion about this, as I've been giving this thing a lot of thought lately.

I really hope this isn't a deal breaker for some of you looking for a keeper league to join. However, I'm really not liking the idea of having a fantasy draft at the start of this thing. I just feel that it completely takes away from how I'd like to build this. Personally, I'm just a fan of realism, and keeping the rosters as they are irl at the start fits that mold of what I'm wanting to do with this keeper league.

So now that you know I'm looking for realism, well as much as we can shove in that is. However, the more complex the greater the odds of "I'm gonna need help" increase.

The boys over at BDL have a decent sized group of guys that all play some type of role, in managing or monitoring some event within the mock.

So do you think we could do something similar here?

For example, 5th year options, would be appointed to a member, and another would be in charge of rfa & tagged tenders and someone else could manage the draft, which is nothing new to us. Really the only thing that would take any serious excel skills would be the ufa, waiver wire, udfa. I know it sounds like work, but its fun work if that helps...haha.

Point is I can't do this by myself, the mock draft I currently run isn't too bad, because I spend a lot of prep time, but anyone that's GM'ed can tell you, they've seen me taking short cuts when updating the full contract into the team rosters, because those years have no bearing on that mock draft. Completely different story with this monster of a keeper league.

#AnyTakers
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Thanks IDOG_det

[Epochalypse]

If it helps, I agree to start with the team rosters as is.

[Counselor]

[ny92jefferis]

Little help please.

I'm looking into both offense and defensive schemes. The list that I'm finding with the most systems in place is wikipedia, they list out the following, however this list includes college schemes as well.

Does anyone have a link they could provide, or a list of just NFL schemes for both sides of the ball?

I need this to set up the win projection simulation.

current list:

Option offense
Run and shoot offense
Smashmouth offense
Air Coryell offense
Spread offense
West Coast offense

Defense:

4-3
3-4
5-2
4-4
3-3-5
46 defense
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Thanks IDOG_det

[ny92jefferis]

Alright, so I need you guys to look over this doc. It is grading out the defensive line play from last season.

There are light blue colored cells designed for you to change the correlation percentages, to improve the ranking/grading of the players.

I think the numbers are pretty close but it's always better to have more people looking it over.

The listings are split up for 43DE, 34DE, 43DT and 34DT as each group's correlation percentage carries different values. For example, 43DE carry more weight for sacks than a 34DE.

Remember this grading is just looking at the 2016 stats, but let me know what you guys think of these numbers and if you think the correlation numbers should be changed, please note in the forum.

Thanks.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14T3nGuRc8Cy3J6gD4sJypAwx2LZZqpNTlDO_WDwUHO4/edit?usp=sharing
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Thanks IDOG_det

[sparky151]

Your methodology sure loves the Vikings D-line.

[Tatupu_64]

[ny92jefferis]

[ny92jefferis]

[ny92jefferis]

I'll post up the rest of the positions today, to get a clear picture of the formulas.
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Thanks IDOG_det