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Will we have another streak of Super Bowl blowouts?
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x0x


Joined: 10 Jul 2008
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Location: Ontario, Canada
PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2013 11:11 pm    Post subject: Will we have another streak of Super Bowl blowouts? Reply with quote

I don't think many fans root for a blowout, but it is a bit odd we've been getting so many close Super Bowl as of late. It is just a tad bit too coincidental.


Anyhow. From 1983-1994, all but 3 were blowouts, with one of the non-blowouts being a 17 point margin.

From 1995-2012, all but 3 were rather close, until at least the 4th quarter.
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carnageehw


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PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2013 11:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Free Agency. Most games will be decently close from now on.
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TheKillerNacho


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PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2013 11:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think your stats prove that the modern NFL is built so that blowouts are rare. The talent difference between teams is rather low, despite what others may believe. I don't think there will be many Super Bowl blowouts in the future. A few, surely, but they'll be the exception rather than the rule. The modern NFL has a lot of parity.
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daineraider


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PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2013 11:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't think that is something you can predict. Some games go very well for some teams and other games don't. No rhyme or reason to some blow outs.
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wackywabbit


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PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2013 11:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The largest margin of victory in the entire playoffs so far has been 15 points. I wouldn't consider a 2 possession game a real blowout. So, it seems unlikely.
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canadaluvsdalla


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PostPosted: Tue Jan 22, 2013 11:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

carnageehw wrote:
Free Agency. Most games will be decently close from now on.


Free Agency pretty much sums it up. Basically makes it so that one team is incapable of paying all of thier elite players.
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x0x


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PostPosted: Wed Jan 23, 2013 12:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

wackywabbit wrote:
The largest margin of victory in the entire playoffs so far has been 15 points. I wouldn't consider a 2 possession game a real blowout. So, it seems unlikely.


No kidding eh?

And how close were the playoffs last season as well?
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Wolverine_Joe


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PostPosted: Wed Jan 23, 2013 12:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

one of the reason why Montana's 4 out of 4SB wins isn't any better than brady's winning 3 out of 5SB. yes montana had couple of close wins, but 2 of them were blowouts. honestly a total mismatch.

it's very rare for the SB to be not competitive. mismatches in the SB will happen very rarely, if not ever.
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C$!


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PostPosted: Wed Jan 23, 2013 1:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wolverine_Joe wrote:
one of the reason why Montana's 4 out of 4SB wins isn't any better than brady's winning 3 out of 5SB. yes montana had couple of close wins, but 2 of them were blowouts. honestly a total mismatch.

it's very rare for the SB to be not competitive. mismatches in the SB will happen very rarely, if not ever.

Really? I would say getting out of the NFC at that time was WAY harder than getting out the the AFC from 2001-2006. Don't hold it against a team that can execute at a high level in the biggest game. You play who's in front of you.
Don't try and cheapen Montana's Super Bowls, it looks pathetic.
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STLRamsFan99


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PostPosted: Wed Jan 23, 2013 1:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wolverine_Joe wrote:
one of the reason why Montana's 4 out of 4SB wins isn't any better than brady's winning 3 out of 5SB. yes montana had couple of close wins, but 2 of them were blowouts. honestly a total mismatch.

it's very rare for the SB to be not competitive. mismatches in the SB will happen very rarely, if not ever.


What stopped Brady from running up the score in all his Superbowl appearances?

49ers had some epic NFC Championship battles which may have helped propel them to some of those lopsided Superbowl victories.

Edit: Plus the AFC wasn't has top heavy as the NFC was back then either.
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Wolverine_Joe


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PostPosted: Wed Jan 23, 2013 2:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

C$! wrote:
Wolverine_Joe wrote:
one of the reason why Montana's 4 out of 4SB wins isn't any better than brady's winning 3 out of 5SB. yes montana had couple of close wins, but 2 of them were blowouts. honestly a total mismatch.

it's very rare for the SB to be not competitive. mismatches in the SB will happen very rarely, if not ever.

Really? I would say getting out of the NFC at that time was WAY harder than getting out the the AFC from 2001-2006. Don't hold it against a team that can execute at a high level in the biggest game. You play who's in front of you.
Don't try and cheapen Montana's Super Bowls, it looks pathetic.




not really. talent wise they were significantly better than other top nfc teams. when they blew out the dolphins they cake walked against giants and bears weeks before. 89? lol even worse. i mean that was like alabama playing ND. it was so obviously mismatched. elways broncos? that team had no business in the SB playing against the niners. it's like pats playing tebow's broncos in the SB.

bottom line, Joe Mo had 2 very easy SB runs. hell, 84 and 89 niners are considered top 5 greatest team ever for godsake. stuff like that doesn't happen in today's NFL. why? because you can't even keep half of those guys in today's NFL.
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STLRamsFan99


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PostPosted: Wed Jan 23, 2013 2:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wolverine_Joe wrote:
C$! wrote:
Wolverine_Joe wrote:
one of the reason why Montana's 4 out of 4SB wins isn't any better than brady's winning 3 out of 5SB. yes montana had couple of close wins, but 2 of them were blowouts. honestly a total mismatch.

it's very rare for the SB to be not competitive. mismatches in the SB will happen very rarely, if not ever.

Really? I would say getting out of the NFC at that time was WAY harder than getting out the the AFC from 2001-2006. Don't hold it against a team that can execute at a high level in the biggest game. You play who's in front of you.
Don't try and cheapen Montana's Super Bowls, it looks pathetic.




not really. talent wise they were significantly better than other top nfc teams. when they blew out the dolphins they cake walked against giants and bears weeks before. 89? lol even worse. i mean that was like alabama playing ND. it was so obviously mismatched. elways broncos? that team had no business in the SB playing against the niners. it's like pats playing tebow's broncos in the SB.

bottom line, Joe Mo had 2 very easy SB runs. hell, 84 and 89 niners are considered top 5 greatest team ever for godsake. stuff like that doesn't happen in today's NFL. why? because you can't even keep half of those guys in today's NFL.


And the Patriots defense wasn't great the last time Brady won a Superbowl?

Montana was clutch when he needed to be.

Stop trying to discredit his wins just cause you think Brady is better.
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Wolverine_Joe


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PostPosted: Wed Jan 23, 2013 3:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

didn't even bring up the defense. i'm talking about the whole package. 01-04 pats can't touch the niners in terms of superior talent compared to their peers. 84 & 89 niners were basically unbeatable. yes, montana was a big part of it, but come on man. we have salary cap for a reason.
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Wolverine_Joe


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PostPosted: Wed Jan 23, 2013 3:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

STLRamsFan99 wrote:
Wolverine_Joe wrote:
C$! wrote:
Wolverine_Joe wrote:
one of the reason why Montana's 4 out of 4SB wins isn't any better than brady's winning 3 out of 5SB. yes montana had couple of close wins, but 2 of them were blowouts. honestly a total mismatch.

it's very rare for the SB to be not competitive. mismatches in the SB will happen very rarely, if not ever.

Really? I would say getting out of the NFC at that time was WAY harder than getting out the the AFC from 2001-2006. Don't hold it against a team that can execute at a high level in the biggest game. You play who's in front of you.
Don't try and cheapen Montana's Super Bowls, it looks pathetic.




not really. talent wise they were significantly better than other top nfc teams. when they blew out the dolphins they cake walked against giants and bears weeks before. 89? lol even worse. i mean that was like alabama playing ND. it was so obviously mismatched. elways broncos? that team had no business in the SB playing against the niners. it's like pats playing tebow's broncos in the SB.

bottom line, Joe Mo had 2 very easy SB runs. hell, 84 and 89 niners are considered top 5 greatest team ever for godsake. stuff like that doesn't happen in today's NFL. why? because you can't even keep half of those guys in today's NFL.


And the Patriots defense wasn't great the last time Brady won a Superbowl?

Montana was clutch when he needed to be.

Stop trying to discredit his wins just cause you think Brady is better.


brady was clutch when he needed to be in 3 SBs. stop it.

niners beat the broncos 55-10. that's not clutch. that's like Bama playing against some medicore big ten team.

Marino's highpowered offense in 84? got blanked in the 2nd half.
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Ronnie's Pinky


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PostPosted: Wed Jan 23, 2013 6:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wolverine_Joe wrote:
not really. talent wise they were significantly better than other top nfc teams. when they blew out the dolphins they cake walked against giants and bears weeks before. 89? lol even worse. i mean that was like alabama playing ND. it was so obviously mismatched. elways broncos? that team had no business in the SB playing against the niners. it's like pats playing tebow's broncos in the SB.

bottom line, Joe Mo had 2 very easy SB runs. hell, 84 and 89 niners are considered top 5 greatest team ever for godsake. stuff like that doesn't happen in today's NFL. why? because you can't even keep half of those guys in today's NFL.


I can only assume you're not old enough to actually remember the 1980's if you think that the 49ers had significantly more talent than New York, Washington and Chicago during that period. The salary cap is less important than you seem to think. There was a great deal of turnover of personnel on those San Francisco teams from 1981 to 1989 and Walsh was actually quite brutal in terms of moving out older players in favor of young ones, especially on defense. Joe and Ronnie were the only constants among those four superbowl teams.

Strangely enough, the 49ers team that had the biggest collection of highly paid veteran talent was actually the 1994 team, who signed Richard Dent, Ricky Jackson, Deion Sanders, Ken Norton and Tim MacDonald (among others) through free agency. Lots of crazy backloaded contracts made this possible and the franchise paid for it later on, but the biggest collection of veteran talent the franchise ever fielded was put together during the cap era. Those 80's 49ers teams rarely signed talent from the outside, and when they did it was always retreads like Russ Francis, Jim Burt, Matt Millen, etc., not highly-paid superstars. I doubt they'd have had much trouble keeping their core together. Having a GM who can consistently bring in young talent through the draft is a large advantage, which as a Patriots fan you should understand pretty well.
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