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Aaron Rodgers Approaching Uncharted Territory
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MBTI_Addict


Joined: 12 Sep 2014
Posts: 59
PostPosted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 9:29 pm    Post subject: Aaron Rodgers Approaching Uncharted Territory Reply with quote

http://www.footballdb.com/leaders/career-passing-tdintratio




Top 10 All Time TD/INT Ratios

1. Aaron Rodgers 3.83
2. Tom Brady 2.71
3. Peyton Manning 2.28
4. Philip Rivers 2.23
5. Steve Young 2.17
6. Tony Romo 2.07
7. Drew Brees 2.03
8. Donovan McNabb 2.00
9. Matt Ryan 1.96
10. Joe Montana 1.96

Rodgers currently has 203 TDs (15 on the season) and 53 INTs (1 on the season). If he were to throw 9 more TDs without an INT, the dude would have a 4.0 career TD/INT ratio. This is mind bottleing to me. Only 7 people in the history of the game have been able to maintain a ratio above 2.0, and Rodgers may eclipse 4.0 before a second person ever gets to 3.0. I understand there has been a noticeable shift in passing numbers during the past decade that has caused better ratios, and I understand Rodgers will take unnecessary sacks at times avoiding INTs. But it doesn't matter. His ball security is in another stratosphere. Year by year Rodgers has been compiling an argument to be the best combination of big plays/safety with the ball the league has ever seen. I just hope we don't look back in 15 years saying, "We may have had the GOAT, and only got him one SB".
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Kampman74


Joined: 30 Apr 2007
Posts: 7312
PostPosted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 9:34 pm    Post subject: Re: Aaron Rodgers Approaching Uncharted Territory Reply with quote

MBTI_Addict wrote:
http://www.footballdb.com/leaders/career-passing-tdintratio




Top 10 All Time TD/INT Ratios

1. Aaron Rodgers 3.83
2. Tom Brady 2.71
3. Peyton Manning 2.28
4. Philip Rivers 2.23
5. Steve Young 2.17
6. Tony Romo 2.07
7. Drew Brees 2.03
8. Donovan McNabb 2.00
9. Matt Ryan 1.96
10. Joe Montana 1.96

Rodgers currently has 203 TDs (15 on the season) and 53 INTs (1 on the season). If he were to throw 9 more TDs without an INT, the dude would have a 4.0 career TD/INT ratio. This is mind bottleing to me. Only 7 people in the history of the game have been able to maintain a ratio above 2.0, and Rodgers may eclipse 4.0 before a second person ever gets to 3.0. I understand there has been a noticeable shift in passing numbers during the past decade that has caused better ratios, and I understand Rodgers will take unnecessary sacks at times avoiding INTs. But it doesn't matter. His ball security is in a stratosphere. Year by year Rodgers has been compiling an argument to be the best combination of big plays/safety with the ball the league has ever seen. I just hope we don't look back in 15 years saying, "We may have had the GOAT, and only got him one SB".


He can avoid INTs AND sacks, he just has to throw sometimes. The big play is having a manageable second and third down.


That being said, this is unheard of. I am sure that a tip pick will happen or something, but if you limit your turnovers that is huge in helping your team win.
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Scuba St3ve


Joined: 19 Mar 2012
Posts: 229
Location: Ashwaubenon
PostPosted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 10:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I was getting angry last week when some analysts were talking about Luck and Wilson as early MVP candidates but not Aaron. I really hope he makes it to the bye with only one pick, how sick would that be?
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DavidatMIZZOU


Joined: 09 Apr 2009
Posts: 9696
Location: The ZOU
PostPosted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 10:23 pm    Post subject: Re: Aaron Rodgers Approaching Uncharted Territory Reply with quote

MBTI_Addict wrote:
This is mind bottleing to me.


Sure is.
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mistakebytehlak wrote:

My god it must be so terrible to have three teams that consistently make the playoffs
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ajdodge09


Joined: 01 Mar 2008
Posts: 4634
Location: Monterey Bay
PostPosted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 10:46 pm    Post subject: Re: Aaron Rodgers Approaching Uncharted Territory Reply with quote

DavidatMIZZOU wrote:
MBTI_Addict wrote:
This is mind bottleing to me.


Sure is.


It just bottles the mind.
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incognito_man


Joined: 11 Jan 2007
Posts: 31683
Location: Madison
PostPosted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 10:49 pm    Post subject: Re: Aaron Rodgers Approaching Uncharted Territory Reply with quote

ajdodge09 wrote:
DavidatMIZZOU wrote:
MBTI_Addict wrote:
This is mind bottleing to me.


Sure is.


It just bottles the mind.


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Cakeshoppe


Joined: 27 Jul 2014
Posts: 191
Location: California
PostPosted: Sun Oct 12, 2014 10:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

These are the other (minimum) scenarios of TD/INT he could have to finish the year at/over 4/1 career:
TD/INT
9/0
13/1
17/2
21/3
25/4
29/5

He's currently on pace for 40 TDs on the season (which would be 25/4 over the next 10 games). I expect he'd actually finish below 40, but not by much. For what it's worth, based on his career average prior to this season, one would expect him to throw 5.8 INTs over those 10 games.
It would require a very good performance to finish out the season, even by his standards, but it's doable.
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incognito_man


Joined: 11 Jan 2007
Posts: 31683
Location: Madison
PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 12:05 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rodgers thru 6 games by season (TD, INT):
2008 - 11, 4
2009 - 11, 2
2010 - 10, 7
2011 - 17, 3
2012 - 16, 4
2013 - 13, 4
2014 - 15, 1
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DavidatMIZZOU


Joined: 09 Apr 2009
Posts: 9696
Location: The ZOU
PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 12:57 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

incognito_man wrote:
Rodgers thru 6 games by season (TD, INT):
2008 - 11, 4
2009 - 11, 2
2010 - 10, 7
2011 - 17, 3
2012 - 16, 4
2013 - 13, 4
2014 - 15, 1


And that one this season was tipped. Though to be fair, he escaped an INT against the Dolphins today on a throw that the DB got both of his hands on. And I don't recall if he has had any other lucky breaks this season off the top of my head.
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mistakebytehlak wrote:

My god it must be so terrible to have three teams that consistently make the playoffs
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CentralFC


Joined: 03 Feb 2011
Posts: 4467
Location: Evanston, IL
PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 1:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

incognito_man wrote:
Rodgers thru 6 games by season (TD, INT):
2008 - 11, 4
2009 - 11, 2
2010 - 10, 7
2011 - 17, 3
2012 - 16, 4
2013 - 13, 4
2014 - 15, 1


Damn, don't remember 2010 being that rough Shocked

Off the top of my head, we played the Eagles, Bills, Chicago, Dolphins, Redskins, and maybe the Lions? Not sure about Detroit, but the other five I am.

He tore up the first two weeks, but I guess some problems in the Dolphins/Redskins games brought him down (fairly low scoring OT games IIRC).
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Simian07:
Quote:
I'd argue Jordy is probably around the 30th-40th best receiver in the NFL, maybe 50th.
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DavidatMIZZOU


Joined: 09 Apr 2009
Posts: 9696
Location: The ZOU
PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 1:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

CentralFC wrote:
incognito_man wrote:
Rodgers thru 6 games by season (TD, INT):
2008 - 11, 4
2009 - 11, 2
2010 - 10, 7
2011 - 17, 3
2012 - 16, 4
2013 - 13, 4
2014 - 15, 1


Damn, don't remember 2010 being that rough Shocked

Off the top of my head, we played the Eagles, Bills, Chicago, Dolphins, Redskins, and maybe the Lions? Not sure about Detroit, but the other five I am.

He tore up the first two weeks, but I guess some problems in the Dolphins/Redskins games brought him down (fairly low scoring OT games IIRC).

Didn't he have Tampa disaster 2.0 in 2010?
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mistakebytehlak wrote:

My god it must be so terrible to have three teams that consistently make the playoffs
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Title Town USA


Joined: 19 Jan 2009
Posts: 19783
Location: Wisconsin
PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 1:11 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

And his one INT this year was off of Jordy's hands.
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Cakeshoppe


Joined: 27 Jul 2014
Posts: 191
Location: California
PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 1:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rodgers threw a pick in 5 of his first 6 games in 2010; 2 each vs. Philly and Detroit. 2 more in week 7 before closing out with 2 in the last 9 weeks.
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Macc_Aviv


Joined: 06 Jan 2011
Posts: 1293
PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 1:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

DavidatMIZZOU wrote:
CentralFC wrote:
incognito_man wrote:
Rodgers thru 6 games by season (TD, INT):
2008 - 11, 4
2009 - 11, 2
2010 - 10, 7
2011 - 17, 3
2012 - 16, 4
2013 - 13, 4
2014 - 15, 1


Damn, don't remember 2010 being that rough Shocked

Off the top of my head, we played the Eagles, Bills, Chicago, Dolphins, Redskins, and maybe the Lions? Not sure about Detroit, but the other five I am.

He tore up the first two weeks, but I guess some problems in the Dolphins/Redskins games brought him down (fairly low scoring OT games IIRC).

Didn't he have Tampa disaster 2.0 in 2010?

Man, I remember Vikings radio guy Paul Allen spent hours on his show talking about how Josh Freeman was a much better quarterback than Rodgers Laughing
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incognito_man


Joined: 11 Jan 2007
Posts: 31683
Location: Madison
PostPosted: Mon Oct 13, 2014 1:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Macc_Aviv wrote:

Man, I remember Vikings radio guy Paul Allen spent hours on his show talking about how Josh Freeman was a much better quarterback than Rodgers Laughing


THIS IS NOT DETROIT!!!

lol, will always love him for that tidbit
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